One of the hiring strategies at our restaurants over the years is to avoid employing people from the hotel industry. Before I have a dozen nasty emails, read on! Generalizations are never good. The exceptions are quickly and easily pointed out. However, hotel trained staff do not think like independent restaurant entrepreneurs.
It’s not their fault! Hospitality and lodging personnel are forced to live within budgets, percentages, rules and performances based solely from numbers dictated by corporate managed food and beverage operations.
Are they successful at what they do? Most are until the situation requires thinking and acting outside the lines. Many hotels and travel based food operations have found in a recession they no longer had captive restaurant visitors where service was sometimes an afterthought.
The difference between hotels and large upscale chains and independent restaurants is the ability to operate and adapt quickly through a clear path directly to the restaurant guest. As the recession closed in on the consumer and restaurants across the world, independents had to find new ways to keep butts in the seats of our restaurants. All restaurants had to change quickly and menu strategies had to be re-thought. Hotels, white table cloth chains and high end corporate dining facilities have been hit the hardest with some major names seeing sales declines exceeding 25%.
One reason for the hotel and high end restaurant revenue declines was their inability to move away from just numbers and connect with customers. One thing is for certain. Guests want value. That means they need to perceive that every dollar spent can be justified as reasonable in these hard times. Hotels and the big ticket chains thought, at first, they were just going to lower that prime New York Strip from $49 to $39 ala carte and the problem would be solved. It didn’t happen. Justifying $39 for a 12 ounce piece of meat and little else won’t work anytime soon.
Menus had to be re-designed to give the customer more for less. The numbers game became less about margins and more about plate cost versus selling price in real dollars not percentages. For instance, a surf and turf with filet and lobster may have a price tag $50 on a menu. The cost to produce that plate may be $25. Not bad if you can get it. But people quit spending $50 or $40 - they wanted to avoid being extravagant while the financial world crashed and burned.
Recession Restaurant Menu Lesson One- High priced anything won’t work! Even the wealthy downscaled their eating regimens. Price points become critical. When the consumer defines the term “value”, they mean a well rounded bargain for their buck. It could be just food. It could be the combination of food and service. It could be food, service and entertainment or ambiance, or convenience, or almost any combination of attractions.
A positive example would be the restaurants that focused on improving service, increasing customer loyalty programs and re-thinking their menu by being creative. Instead of serving that $15 per pound fillet, they moved to chicken, pork and lower priced proteins, but served them in new ways. That big plate of chicken Marsala on a large bed of fettuccine noodles became attractive particularly with a price tag of well under $20 for a complete dinner. It sure looked better to the consumer than the lonely 10 ounce fillet at $30 dollars or more. Even the QSR chains quickly discovered that offering those 99 cent specials while raising drink prices by 30 or 40 percent didn’t fool the consumer very long. They just quit buying the drinks!
Recession Restaurant Menu Lesson Number Two- Forget trying to lure the consumer with low priced offerings that require expensive add-ons to complete a reasonable meal. Plate cost versus selling price must become part of your restaurant menu planning strategy. Creativity will survive, but ruthless discounting may hurt brands for years to come.
Forget trying to price based on margins. What does it cost to produce a dinner entree before adding center of the plate proteins? If you offer a salad, potato (or other side) and bread, what is the cost? Let’s assume it’s $3. If you add to that a lobster tail at $6, the old mentality may have been to triple or quadruple the combined cost for a total of $27 to $36. The recession has forced us to look at minimums for plate production and work from there, while having a price target in mind.
For instance, if you want to keep entrees below $18, and you need a $12 production minimum, $3 plate cost before the feature item, that leaves $3 maximum for the center of the plate.
Now you can adjust prices and menu items using this philosophy. Impossible, you say! If you can’t buy into that theory, you are probably struggling in this economy or are just plain lucky with a perfect location that has lots of captive business. If you think $3 (or other number you calculate) is too little of an amount to allocate for the center of the plate, that is where creativity and self bargaining come into play. Creativity begins with knowing your food costs. An 8 oz. chicken breast probably costs you around $1. A bone in 8 oz. pork chop will cost you about $1.90. Pollock, tilapia and catfish will all fit into that range. All of these leave room for a creative sauce and presentation.A reasonable portion of shrimp, mussels, clams and much more will also work.
Self bargaining is another creative tool. Hypothetically, you could be shooting for an AVERAGE production profit of $12 per plate, that $17 shrimp scampi won’t make it. Then create another dish that makes up the difference by using much lower proteins like pasta, rice, sausages, ground meats. A Tuscan sausage fettuccine may make up the extra dollar you spent on a seafood grill that went over your target. The goal is to balance your menu to keep prices down and seats full, while keeping positive cash flow. An empty restaurant that insists on the status quo won’t make payroll, pay supplier bills and cover fixed costs.
Recession Restaurant Menu Lesson Number Three - Margins won’t work. Know your costs. How many covers do you need to break even? What is the average per plate production cost you will need to break even? What is your per plate production cost? What proteins can be offered to give value and profit an equal share of the menu item? It’s amazing how many restaurants report they are running the same number of covers, but at average tabs of 10-15% less in sales. That means you have to put profit back into the picture on a per cover basis.
If you don’t know your costs, menu pricing in a recession will be dangerous. Many of the casual chains are running big promotions the franchisees pay the price for. They may drive traffic, but profits at the corporate level are based on sales, at the expense of the franchisee’s profit. Trying to duplicate this pricing tactic as an independent may be tempting, but your costs and ability to survive are immediate. Driving traffic through loss leaders will leave you looking for real dollars to make payroll.
Keep an eye on commodities. What is coming down? What is going up? Focus on proteins that have a sustainable pricing outlook. Work with your suppliers closer than ever before. Get advice about what items and menu ideas may fall into your price points.
When will the recession end? Whoever has the crystal ball to foresee that could be very rich - but they won’t be in the restaurant business. It is very likely our industry will feel the effects of the economy for several years to come. Even as economic health returns, people have changed their habits. Returning to the free spending consumers that used a great deal of their disposable income on dining out, may be a long time off.